Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 4.369924 5.045428 5.756408 6.557298 7.431164 8.352655 9.394715
2024-12-29 3.531947 4.497227 5.577801 6.863574 8.338409 9.964443 11.879792
2025-01-05 2.907973 4.056677 5.416396 7.112472 9.139668 11.454857 14.268338
2025-01-12 2.380281 3.630423 5.190786 7.222281 9.739212 12.700586 16.392703
2025-01-19 1.905062 3.185136 4.869885 7.155159 10.082170 13.619389 18.129632
2025-01-26 1.605743 2.921398 4.737113 7.288393 10.647771 14.796611 20.182110
2025-02-02 1.361111 2.692022 4.614607 7.405866 11.174155 15.918124 22.172460
2025-02-09 1.086797 2.368910 4.319154 7.253278 11.320663 16.544141 23.540693
2025-02-16 0.864128 2.086275 4.045709 7.098362 11.438071 17.115769 24.832260
2025-02-23 0.716915 1.904260 3.900705 7.107146 11.764207 17.952290 26.463832
2025-03-02 0.572018 1.695551 3.687370 6.992502 11.901748 18.529760 27.758049
2025-03-09 0.517962 1.655279 3.743826 7.283203 12.615412 19.886347 30.086057
2025-03-16 0.428728 1.524947 3.638446 7.322768 12.977947 20.789589 31.854347
2025-03-23 0.392303 1.505607 3.725296 7.668716 13.796458 22.332340 34.498655
2025-03-30 0.351051 1.465538 3.769457 7.944978 14.516720 23.750588 36.995931
2025-04-06 0.298123 1.382181 3.723374 8.067255 15.005803 24.852186 39.078999
2025-04-13 0.235097 1.250985 3.569535 7.996716 15.194891 25.530430 40.591909
2025-04-20 0.199982 1.189067 3.544964 8.141352 15.712889 26.677885 42.755334
2025-04-27 0.168633 1.127598 3.513365 8.268478 16.202044 27.786758 44.873689
2025-05-04 0.124364 1.000025 3.324965 8.104132 16.223538 28.218049 46.055812
2025-05-11 0.089208 0.883666 3.143477 7.937077 16.229238 28.619523 47.194405
2025-05-18 0.068605 0.815143 3.061662 7.946607 16.515450 29.431283 48.912281
2025-05-25 0.047723 0.725527 2.915362 7.822875 16.575958 29.906132 50.156196